The Miami Heat and Philadelphia 76ers are tied at two games apiece, entering a crucial Game 5 on Tuesday night.
While it may seem like the Heat are in trouble this series after losing two straight games with Joel Embiid returning for the Sixers, that may not be the case.
Philly has shot an incredible 48.5% from beyond the arc the past two games, shooting 16 for 33 from deep in Games 3 and 4.
To make matters worse for Miami, the Sixers were also money when the shot clock ran out, making it even harder for a defense.
Spoelstra last night: “They had a handful of possessions that went all the way to the end of the clock and hit big.”
In effect. The Sixers were an incredible 13 for 17 (6 for 8 of 3) in the final 6 seconds on the shot clock in Game 4 (via Second Spectrum).
— John Schuhmann (@johnschuhmann) May 9, 2022
It’s hard to believe the Sixers will maintain that pace, especially since they shot 36.4% from beyond the arc during the regular season. James Harden, who has recorded career low shot numbers this year, had a Monster Game 4 for Philly, and it may not be wise for bettors to expect the same to happen on the road.
The Heat, on the other hand, didn’t shoot the ball well in Games 3 and 4, according to our own Reed Wallach.
The Heat shot 32/105 on uncontested field goal attempts in Games 3 and 4.
Make or miss the league.
—Reed Wallach (@ReedWallach) May 9, 2022
Yeah. Miami is due for a small positive regression in the shooting department, but will it have enough offense to beat the Sixers with Embiid?
The WynnBET bettors have the Heat set as three-point favorites in Game 5. Embiid is a dominant presence, but he’s gotten a lot of help in this series as well.
If you don’t believe the Sixers are staying warm on the field and starting at 3, there’s real value in taking Miami with such a low number on Tuesday night.